Understanding Gold Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior

Is Wall Street ignoring the true risk in markets? Michael Gayed joins Maggie Lake to explain why investors are watching the wrong risk signals by focusing on Trump’s tariffs and why small caps, Japan, and junk debt may hold the real clues to what happens next.

In this in-depth conversation, Michael breaks down:

• Why small caps are halfway through a lost decade
• How Japan’s monetary policy and the reverse carry trade could trigger a global credit event
• The dangerous disconnect between small caps and junk debt spreads
• Why passive flows into mega-cap stocks are masking real economic weakness
• How a bullish or bearish tail event could resolve these market distortions
• And why gold may not behave like a safe haven in the next crisis

Chapters:

0:32 - Tariff Tensions: Growth Under Pressure?

4:23 - Zombie Small Caps: Crisis or Transformation?

6:57 - Mega Tech Mirage: The Illusion of Market Health

9:25 - Reverse Carry Unveiled: Japan’s Financial Tipping Point

14:35 - Trump’s Dollar Dilemma: The Weaker Wish

16:02 - Unwinding Uncertainty: What Could Spark A Japan Panic?

20:59 - Gold Sell-Off: Unveiling the Warning

24:05 - Economic Signals: Growth or Gloom in the US?

27:25 - Deregulation Dilemma: Positioning for Change

29:47 - Oil Outlook: Balancing Supply, Demand, and Risk

30:56 - Equity Rotation: Shifting from Mega Caps

33:11 - Small Cap Timing: Seizing the Opportunity

35:26 - Global Pivot: Betting on International Markets

36:20 - Conviction Check: What Would Change the Game?

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