Positive AI Economic Futures
AI Safety Fundamentals
Navigating the Complexities of Predicting Future Events
This chapter delves into the complexities of foreseeing the future, emphasizing the distinction between projecting and envisioning. It examines the role of historical data, the pitfalls of over-reliance on probabilities, and the repercussions of lacking imaginative foresight, citing instances like the 9-11 attacks and the risks of being fixated on past trends amidst rapid technological changes.
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