The Relationship Between Causation and Counterfactual Reasoning

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The concept of causality is closely related to counterfactual reasoning. How these two fit together is a good question that I haven't thought about it, says Andrew Keen. In the background of this, he always has in mind Bertrand Russell's famous remark: The concept of causation is like the British monarchy.

The founders of statistical mechanics in the 19th century faced an uphill battle to convince their fellow physicists that the laws of thermodynamics could be derived from the random motions of microscopic atoms. This insight turns out to be even more important than they realized: the emergence of patterns characterizing our macroscopic world relies crucially on the increase of entropy over time. Barry Loewer has (in collaboration with David Albert) been developing a theory of the Mentaculus — the probability map of the world — that connects microscopic physics to time, causation, and other familiar features of our experience.

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Barry Loewer received his Ph.D. in philosophy from Stanford University. He is currently distinguished professor of philosophy at Rutgers University. His research focuses on the foundations of physics and the metaphysics of laws and chance.

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