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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 16th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, on the yet-to-be-seen effects of tariffs on global markets and why she expects more equity volatility in 2025. The S&P 500 on track for one of its best weeks this year, as easing trade tensions between the US and China buoyed appetite for risky assets.
2) Meghan Robson, Head of US Credit Strategy at BNP Paribas, on why she remains cautious on credit markets in an uncertain environment. The dollar weakened again against major peers and the 10-year yield was lower after declining Thursday, as economic data spurs speculation the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year. This, as traders await negotiations around the US budget with its promise of large tax cuts and a potential impact that will have on the fiscal deficit.
3) Bill Lee, Chief Economist at the Milken Institute, brings us into the market open and discusses uneasy progress in US trade deals and what he makes of the outcome of the US-China temporary trade truce. The 90-day reduction in tariffs has already led to a surge in transpacific shipping volumes, with bookings from China to the US particularly strong, and freight rates are rising as a result.
4) Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, joins for a discussion on low oil prices and what President Trump's trip to the Middle East could mean for the outlook for gas and energy prices. The International Energy Agency expects a global glut in oil supply this year and next due to increasing production and slowing demand growth.
5) Kelsey Berro, Executive Director: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Investment Management, discusses reduced tail risk of a hard landing and JPM's case for sub-trend growth in 2025. Some officials, like Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, expects the US economy to slow this year but not fall into recession. He also expects one rate cut in 2025.
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