The Complexity of Decline Rates

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There's such a wide variation. That's what makes it so incredibly difficult because you'd like to say there's a template that we can just follow. The good way would be if we have short-term rates up here and longer-term rates down here, long-term rates rise. We also have this bad steepening where interest rates along the entire curve fall, but they fall faster at the short end than the long end.

Rebecca Hotsko interviews Jeff Snider in a discussion about the global economy and markets. They delve into topics such as the current state of the 3m10yr yield curve, which is the most inverted it has been in 40 years, and what this implies for market expectations and more!

Jeff is the host of the Eurodollar University Channel and Chief Strategist at Atlas Financial.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro.

02:06 - Jeff’s current outlook for the global economy and markets.

05:44 - Why the 3m10yr yield curve is the most inverted it has been in 40 years and what this is telling us about the market's expectations going forward?

10:16 - Why all data is pointing to deflation driven more by unemployment not inflation risk going forward?

21:56 - What impact does deflation have on financial markets and asset prices?

25:03 - How the two sources of deflation transpire differently through the economy and financial markets?

39:22 - Will the US run out of money by June?

39:37 -What implications does raising the debt ceiling have in the US and global economy?

45:49 - Why Jeff believes the crisis led by the banking sector isn’t over and there is more to come.

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Kyle and the other community members.
Check out: Euro Dollar University.
Check out Jeff’s YouTube.
Related Episode: Listen to MI263: Gold Through The Ages: Understanding it's Role Under Different Monetary Regimes w/ Dana Samuelson , or watch the video.

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