Lukashenko's Fear of a Drain Pipe Moment

Lukashenko has seen himself as kind of a mediator within the former Soviet world for some time. The war in Ukraine, he wasn't crazy about that. And I think that we've seen that evidenced in Belarus's lack of direct involvement in the war. It would be a really odd tactic to fake this whole thing when you literally had to go on the TV and be like "Someone's coming for me"