2min chapter

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma cover image

Ep 331: Gurwinder Bhogal Examines Human Nature

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

CHAPTER

The Importance of Probabilistic Thinking

In some domains in the real world, it is so messy that you can't even verify something from reality. In a crowded swimming pool with 40 kids jumping up and down and rain overhead, then it's really up to whatever your prior beliefs are or what tribe you're part of. So, I totally agree with the principle that you have to not take anything at face value and try to kind of test everything. But there is just the scarcity of bandwidth and time and also the world is so complex that, you know, everybody's not going to figure out how to do this. It's just mind-boggling.

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