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19min chapter
Overheated Stock Market To Correct Before Continuing Rally | Le Shrub on Le Shrub on AI, CRE, and China
Forward Guidance
Strategies for Hedging in a Bearish Market
Exploring the importance of credit spreads over durations like the 10-year Treasury in a bearish market scenario and proposing trade strategies with low downside risk and high potential upside. Analyzing correlations between the Russell index and credit spreads, with a focus on buying put spreads on the Russell as a hedge. Discussing the risks in commercial real estate (CRE) investments, potential challenges in the banking system's capitalization, shorting investment grade spreads, and identifying 'max stupid' events in the market.
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