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Mastering the Multi-Speed Market: Greg Daco on Disinflation, Monetary Policy, and Debt Ceiling Debates

Lead-Lag Live

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The Fed's Overtightening of Monetary Policy

I fear there's a little bit of a recency bias, whereby people anticipate that the inflation stickiness that we've seen over the past 18 months is likely to persist. And it may actually, this is my view, actually surprise on the downside, that we may actually end up in a more rapid disinflationary environment than is currently anticipated by the consensus. If anything, just to come back to the most recent data we have, if anything, it shows that, whether it's hotel prices, airfare, or just in raw terms, the leisure and hospitality sector,. those are starting to see some turnarounds in the prices on a month to month basis. Why? Because

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