Why is it so hard to predict the outcome of competitions like the Premier League?
More or Less: Behind the Stats
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The Importance of a Good Manager
When you talk about managers, you're already talking about an elite group of individuals who've reached the pinnacle of what they're doing. There is plenty of research out there, which shows that the manager doesn't really make much difference to what a team does. So maybe that's good news from miserable Spurs fans, if they're star player, Harry Kane actually depart. For what it's worth though, Simon calculates that Manchester City have the very best chance of winning the Premier League this season with a probability of 49%. And of course, that will be adjusted and recalculated depending on how results go. He has looked at some of the events in the Olympic Games, for example, drawing on
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