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The Most Valuable Data Point

FiveThirtyEight Politics

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The Dynamics of Voter Turnout

This chapter explores the significance of voter turnout as a predictor for election outcomes, particularly focusing on potential shifts in support for Trump and Harris among various demographics. Insights from a seasoned pollster reveal the critical nature of understanding voter engagement, especially among those who traditionally abstain from elections. The discussion highlights the complexities of polling, media influence on voter sentiment, and the role of disengaged voters in shaping the electoral landscape.

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