On this episode of The Horizon, John Chang interviews John Manning, Executive Managing Director at Marcus & Millichap Capital Corporation, to unpack the current lending environment across commercial real estate. Manning outlines why CMBS lending has surged in 2025, citing borrower acceptance of current interest rates, availability of non-recourse loans, and the appeal of full-term interest-only financing. He compares CMBS to banks, life insurance companies, GSEs, and debt funds, highlighting how each fits into the market and why debt funds are becoming dominant for bridge and construction loans. They also look ahead to the next five years, predicting a recovery in transaction volume and capital flows, especially if proposed legislation allows more retirement money to flow into real estate.
John Manning
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