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SI224: 2022 the Perfect Year for Trend Followers? (TTU Group Part 1)

Top Traders Unplugged

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The Difference Between Secular and Cyclical

We've had a secular trend for 40 years based on federal reserve activity and monetary policy dominance. That simple change in my view is changing this secular trend. On the cyclical side, people crowded in after a big long, sorry, a big vol move in 2020 into long skew and long downside protection before a decline in the market. And that caused an oversupply of all over hedging, which on the way down has compressed volatility compression.

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