The discussion of AI quickly falls into a domain bordering on Sci-Fi. My thoughts here are only marginally shaped by scientific facts.

If you look at technological progress over the centuries through the lens of productivity, the improvement was tiny, barely noticeable. Our ability to do the same tasks maybe improved a few basis points a year for millennia. People figured out fire, learned how to use levers, and created a wheel.

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WHO AM I: Vitaliy Katsenelson is the CEO of Investment Management Associates (IMA) in 2012. Forbes Magazine called him “The New Benjamin Graham.” He’s written for publications including Financial Times, Barron’s, Institutional Investor, and Foreign Policy.

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