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Value After Hours E05 S23: Ian Cassel on Small and MicroCap Growth and Value, How He Finds Stocks

The Acquirers Podcast

CHAPTER

The Stock Market's Prediction of a Recession

The main thing that I look at, just because it's a simple metric, is that 10, three inversion. And the 10, three is still very, very inverted. So I think that if it happens, it happens between now and January 25, 2024 as the sort of, you know, 95% confidence interval for when it occurs. It seems to me like there's a lot of weakness out there. What that means for the stock market is entirely something else. The recession rules out a stock market crash. At some point, a proper one.

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