5min chapter

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST) cover image

#111 - AI moratorium, Eliezer Yudkowsky, AGI risk etc

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

CHAPTER

The Importance of Scaling Laws in AI

The ability to predict how powerful system will be is dependent not only on the age in your study, but also on its environment. We don't have super strong predictive theories of the entire universe so we can't predict this kind of stuff. I think if we could all agree to just like go only like teeny microsteps until we've developed as much theory as humanly possible and then we take one more microstep it would be fine. You know, maybe one of those microsteps will kill us, but it's like possible. But like currently, we're not even trying. It seems obviously probably impossible that if you just get 1000 x AGI draws from the sky, you're

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