
MLG 013 Shallow Algos 2
Machine Learning Guide
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Bays Theorem, Conditional Probability, Bays Classifier
Bays b a y e s is the namesake for our algrithm here, called a naive bays classifier. It's using some statistics algebra, some probability algebra, and flipping stuff to the other side of the equation. How likely is it to rain if i know that it is cloudy? Well, it is very likely to rain. Now we're talking like 90, 95 %. Have you seen rain on a sunny day? Yes so. Have i on a blue moon? So conditional probabilities don't reverse. They're not the same thing, but they're reversible. That's all bay's theorem is.
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