The Future of Global Temperature

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A strategic exchange of nuclear weapons would have catastrophic impacts on the global biosphere, including models show up to a 15 to 17 degrees Celsius. While this would be a good scenario for temperature, it would be absolutely horrific and catastrophic for all other economic environmental distributions and life on earth. So summarizing those three little things that I've added here, relative to the consensus climate science, my own mental distribution for future temperatures would look something like this.

Recorded April 10, 2023

Description

In this Frankly, Nate explains how he views the future from a probability perspective - a tool frequently used in industries such as finance, retirement planning, and by e.g. gamblers. While there will be only one eventual outcome, the possible paths to that future fall in a distribution, with some results much more likely than others. We can shift these results with our actions in the present. However, no one person can know this distribution perfectly, only the distribution shaped by their own bias, knowledge, and perspective. How might we use a probabilistic approach to better understand what’s possible - and even to better relate to others? By thinking of the future as a spectrum, can we avoid falling into traps of certainty and complacency that inevitably lead to inaction? While there are some outcomes that are impossible, there are still many within our power to steer towards during a Simplification.

To watch on Youtube: https://youtu.be/uWn2svl6aBU

For Show Notes and More: https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/frankly-original/29-reality-probability-and-perception