Indicators and Predictions

Americans have been waiting for a recession to kick in for the past year. With consumer sentiment down and debt piling up, it’s understandable why so many feel like the worst is yet to come. But what if the “hard landing” everyone was so afraid of already happened without us even noticing it? Could a “rolling recession” be why the economy never crashed at once? We’ve got Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab’s Chief Investment Strategist, on the show to explain.

In a new report, Liz Ann touches on the one industry that could get hit hardest in 2024, what will happen if the labor market starts to break, and why we aren’t out of the woods yet for another recession. In today’s show, she’ll detail her findings and explain why SO many Americans feel now is an economically dangerous time, even while hard data points to confident consumers.

We’ll get Liz Ann’s take on the Fed rate cuts and whether or not they’ll even happen as the Fed eagerly awaits mortgage rate hike effects to finally kick in. Plus, recession indicators to watch in 2024 and why the bond markets could be pointing to something that no one else has been able to see. 

In This Episode We Cover:

The “rolling recession” and why a “hard landing” may have already hit

One industry that could get hit HARD in 2024 if the labor market starts to weaken 

Why we haven’t felt the full effect of the Fed’s rate hikes yet 

Fed rate cut predictions and how long the Fed could continue to hold high rates 

Recession indicators and what the bond market tells you that no one else is talking about

And So Much More!

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Why 2023’s “Rolling Recession” is Almost Impossible to Predict

BiggerNews: Soft Landing or Hard Recession? How to Build Wealth in Both

U.S. Outlook: One Thing Leads to Another

Connect with Liz:

Liz's Insights

Liz's LinkedIn

Liz's X/Twitter

Click here to listen to the full episode: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-172

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