Impact of Interest Rates on Housing Market Dynamics

This chapter explores how declining interest rates affect housing appreciation and inventory levels, while analyzing the unique post-COVID demand landscape. It highlights the critical relationship between labor market conditions, Federal Reserve policies, and mortgage rates, emphasizing the complexities and potential future trends in the housing market.

Transcript

chevron_right

Play full episode

chevron_right

Transcript

Episode notes

Are we finally at the end stages of this harsh housing market? With housing inventory increasing, mortgage rates steadily falling, and inflation cooling, we might be returning to a much healthier time to buy a house. But one of these improvements we’ve seen over the past year could begin reversing, and that’s creating some interesting future scenarios. One that even we’re surprised to hear as we bring on top housing market analyst Logan Mohtashami.

Logan has referred to 2022-2023’s housing market as “savagely unhealthy,” but he’s a bit more optimistic now that we’re seeing relief. While we’re still not at 2019 inventory levels (which were already low), we’re slowly getting there. However, we could see the positive inventory trend start to reverse, leading to even more affordability problems for homebuyers. So what has to happen for affordability to see meaningful improvement?

Today, Logan is giving us his take on housing inventory, where mortgage rates could be heading, and why we may NOT see a spike in home prices even if rates fall significantly (something most analysts are bullish on).

In This Episode We Cover

Logan’s housing market, mortgage rate, and inventory forecast

Why our increasing housing inventory could reverse once rates start to fall

The one thing holding affordability back and whether Logan has hopes of it improving

Why watching the labor market and jobs numbers will help you predict mortgage rates

Were we wrong about the “lower rates = higher home prices” premise?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile