Two: Rachel Glennerster on global poverty
Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours
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Is There a Methodology to Predicting?
There's two parts to those, to that question. Is there a methodology we can use? And yes, absolutely there is. The other thing is, do we know whether something would be implemented well beforehand? And oughtn't we to know that? So it's quite interesting some so some of the psychology literature actually shows that there's a lot of information in people's heads about what things were and what won't. But if you ask experts, sir like, oh, that that study will replicate and that won't, and they're quite good at predicting. That doesn't mean the first study was wrong. It means we've got another implementation strategy.
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