5min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Jacob Shapiro: From Globalization To A Multipolar World

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Bonds and the Time Horizon Problem

There is only a 10% chance that Fed funds rate will be below 1.75% by June 2024 so we're going to be cutting 300 basis point in 18 months according to the market. I am starting to convince myself that it makes a ton of sense to belong euro dollar yes and I'm not saying soon as you start moving slightly but slowly but surely towards reopening with a bang.

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