Liv Boeree on Poker, GPT-4, and the Future of AI
Future of Life Institute Podcast
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The Noise Factor in Decision Making
If I sat down against Magnus Karson, he's going to beat me close to 100% of the time. But whereas you, someone who's bad at poker plays against me, they might be and depending on the sample size, they might beat me pretty often. So there's this noise factor that you have to deal with when it comes to results that you don't necessarily have in chess. That's another reason why it's far more relatable to the types of real life decision-making that we make. It's one of the hardest things to do is to figure out how much of that was down to our own strategies,. either being wrong or being very right versus just us getting
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