Local Elections: John Curtice on the Key Battles
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The Unionist Party in Northern Ireland Is Losing Ground
There is a widespread expectation that this shinfane will become the largest party. They are losing ground one at one end of the spectrum to the traditional unionist party, which on running at about sevent eight%. The problem facing the unions ticians i in northern ireland is that nationalists are united. Nationalists are united in thinking that brexet was a bad idea and they voted remain in the first place. So what we're looking at is a united nationalist movement that's likely to retain its support both shinfan and the tr p. But then, because part of the fragmentation of the unionist vote is towards the northern aned alliance, probably the unionist block still be larger
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