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The Long Term Game
We often think about a long term game that we want to win in, but then we strategize for the short term. If you're counting how many successful plays you have, the scoreboard very rarely indicates the successful number of plays. In American football, a given team may win but have a very low number of completions. And so your short term game is highly correlated with your long term game and your number of successful plays turns out to be highly correlated to your success on the scoreboard.