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The Secret to Being Right
I asked myself, what moments in the past looked like this? And i saw the same thing. I have a set of so called cansian approaches to i thinking about macro economics. John has approaches that are quite a different, that are more in a monitorist a tradition. But i kind of thought about all the different approaches, and they all seem to me to be flashing red. As the year went on, i got increasingly confident that i had been right. The secret to being right is maintaining a certain eclecticism of a perspective which helps you avoid overconfidence.