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David Rosenberg: A Recession Is Coming In The Next 6 Months

Forward Guidance

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The Discrepancy Between Government Numbers and Retail Sales

This chapter discusses the contrasting strength of the labor market according to government data and the actual performance of retail sales. It highlights the low sales experienced by various retailers, as well as the rise in consumer card delinquency rates. The speakers emphasize the importance of these factors for economic growth and the potential impact of an increasing unemployment rate.

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