Navigating the Investment Landscape

This chapter examines the shifting dynamics in investment, particularly the underperformance of commodities compared to equities and the implications of inflation. It highlights the multifaceted nature of inflation, its historical patterns, and the potential for a resurgence, while addressing the challenges faced by natural resources amid rising fiscal pressures. Additionally, the discussion reflects on corporate profitability in relation to economic conditions and the sustainability of current market valuations.

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Episode notes

On today’s episode, Clay Finck brings back Tavi Costa to chat about the beginning of a commodity supercycle. Tavi gives a masterclass in why we are just in the beginning phases of a bull market for gold, silver, and hard assets like commodities.

Tavi is a partner and portfolio manager at Crescat Capital. His research has been featured in financial publications such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, CNN, among others.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro.

03:31 - Why Tavi believes we’re just at the beginning phases of a bull market for gold, silver, and hard assets like commodities.

09:47- When the next wave of inflation may strike.

21:21 - What the 4 pillars of inflation are, and why they all point to structurally higher inflation going forward.

21:44 - Why the S&P 500’s earnings are likely to roll over and decline in the near term.

37:40 - Why yield curve inversions are bullish for gold relative to equities.

51:09 - Why foreign countries are selling US treasuries to buy gold.

83:19 - Where Tavi sees asymmetric opportunities in the gold mining industry.

83:27 - Why Tavi is bullish on Brazil and sees Brazil much differently than the other BRICS nations.

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

Check out Crescat Capital.
Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, and the other community members.
Check out our recent episode covering the 2023 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Meeting or watch the video here.
Follow Tavi on Twitter.
Follow Clay on Twitter.

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