4min chapter

This Week in Intelligent Investing cover image

The Futility of Recession Forecasting as Part of an Investment Process

This Week in Intelligent Investing

CHAPTER

Are We Going to Talk Ourself in a Recession?

If consumers start talking themselves into this pessimism and really getting worked up in a lather about how bad everything is, they may eventually cut back on some of the economic activity that would help avert a recess. There's kind of like a reflextive, circular logic to it all. And yet, who's the worst first half for the s m p since 19 70? So things clearly, ah, don't look optimistic if you're using the stock market as your a barometer, right? It's a way to check the temperature of things out there, and the temperature's not so hot right now.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode