AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
2min chapter
Irina Rish–AGI, Scaling and Alignment
The Inside View
The Probability of Humanity Going Extinct
The probability of humanity going extinct because of advanced AI systems is less than 1%. The other 99% is like a large fraction that is like... Okay, I separated the probability of going extinct due to purely AI kind of issues versus AI being used by humans. And there was a total probability. Well, basically what's the total probability that people finally managed to destroy themselves? Before you die. More than 50%. Um... Oh. Maybe I merge with ETR and it will live forever. Or maybe not. But, um... Boy, this question about putting probabilities on, um... Kind of the tail of the distribution events is very interesting.
00:00
Transcript
Episode notes
Get the Snipd
podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any
moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share
& Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode