The Ukrainians Face a Double Bind Back to the Map

Any Russian troops west of Mjormi have basically been cut off from supplies that come from Russia proper in the east. They got everything they needed from Crimea, which is more difficult to support now. And since there's going to be a window before the Russians can redirect supplies further to the west, the troops in the Militapul area are now vulnerable. If we're going to see an attack, these are exactly the circumstances you would expect the Ukrainians to shape. Now would be the time.