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#51 Bernoulli’s Fallacy & the Crisis of Modern Science, with Aubrey Clayton

Learning Bayesian Statistics

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Rethinking Probability: From Theory to Application

This chapter explores the development of a book on the philosophy of probability, addressing its relation to the replication crisis in modern science. It critiques frequentist statistics and highlights the importance of incorporating prior information in Bayesian approaches, arguing for a shift in understanding probability as a conceptual framework rather than a fixed measure. The discussion draws parallels between probability and other constructs, emphasizing its role in refining logical reasoning and scientific inference.

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