Betting on Trump: Speculation and Public Sentiment

This chapter examines betting trends favoring Donald Trump ahead of upcoming elections, contrasting media narratives with public perceptions of support for him. It critiques forecasting models and explores concerns over election integrity, particularly in Michigan, alongside the psychological impact of a potential Trump victory on voters, especially Democrats. The discussion touches on misinformation, cognitive dissonance, and heightened tensions surrounding electoral outcomes, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of the political landscape.