Is There a Difference Between Predictions and Polling Errors?

I don't get the sense that it's directly incorporated that often. I would say the more likely candidate for that is, and maybe that's just our biases as an investment types where we say look if there's money behind this. If there's a transactional transactionally based measure. Typically those two things have gone together to some extent. I think there's less of that now and predicted has what 65% chance of a Biden victory and these quantitative election models kind of converge around something like 90%.