3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Bank of Japan Widow-Makes Once Again | Weston Nakamura

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

Euro Dollar Futures Implied Volatility Against CME and Futures Price

The yen is strengthening because the B OJ's printing an insane amount of, um, you know, to support the JGB market and all that. The short yen trade for 2022 was a large part of Fed trade because it was a policy divergence trade. Short term interest rate futures reflects like huge uncertainty of what the hell the fed's going to do or not knowing what they're going to do. So therefore traders basically said, okay, let's just take a relative bet. We're going to bet that the caucus fed is going to be directionally hawkish but bank fans will be this weird standout dove. That's dollar up. That's the end down.

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