2min chapter

The Changelog: Software Development, Open Source cover image

Product development structures as systems (Interview)

The Changelog: Software Development, Open Source

CHAPTER

Using Monte Carlo Simulations to Make Forecasts

Using a monte carlo simulation, you can see how many tasks your team delivered on each day. You can simulate over a particular peerg of days, and you can see the outcomes you get in all the simulations. Now it's very difficult for you to say you can have onehundedr cent confidence, even if you pick the last possible date that your simulation gave you. But what you're doing when you simulate your team delivering that is basically, instead of just actually delivering once you're simulating.

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