Aegon - The Black Council or the Carrot?

Renira's version of the small council is the so-called Black Council. She could read it as that she hasn't made up her mind yet. You know what Otto intends if you say no, right? For sure. The hit stick is a dragon, but like, what about some carrots? Can't we win people over with benevolence and charm? I thought he was doing a great job until until he made shit up.