I asked comic Dave Smith how he calculated the risk of long COVID. If they used a rational process to look at all the risks and all the upside and downside, even if they calculated it wrong, I would say that's a rational process. And my line for rational is if you simply considered all of the costs and all the benefits. But if there was a big cost or a big benefit that you just ignored, I would call that guessing. So after people defended themselves, I followed up with one question: How did you calculate the odds of long CO VID?

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