I thought this would be a three to six month recession I'm sorry three to six quarter recession. We're probably soaking in you know arguably the third or fourth quarter of this. It's going to be another two or three quarters I don't think that will get back to growth again in GDP until the second half of next year That's that's been my belief since the beginning and that's not taking into account some crazy event occurring like an invasion of Taiwan which I put as low single digits The Russian invasion the illegal and immoral invasion and war in Ukraine Ukraine that Putin has done could continue at 20% for me. If something like that does happen that could maybe extend a recession and create even

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