
Why Copper Belongs on Your Christmas List: How to Position Your Portfolio for a Santa Rally
The Art of Investing
When to Take Profits Versus Stay Invested
Hosts debate psychological levels, re-assessing daily, and no fixed rule to sell at round-number indices like FTSE 100.
đ NOW AN AWARD-WINNING PODCAST
Huge thank you to everyone who voted! TAOI just won Best Financial Podcast, Best Financial Analysis, and Best Investing Education at the Good Money Guide Awards.
This week, Rich McDonald, Chris Fellingham and Mark âSpiceâ Holden break down one of the most complex macro weeks of the year. From Japanâs shock rate-rise chatter to a crypto wipeout, a commodities surge, and the portfolioâs push toward being fully invested for the potential Santa RallyâŠyes, weâve added more copper!
We answer a few listener questions;
1. Should all investors be using a stop loss?
2. How to manage positions when taking profits and managing the downside risk?
3. Should we all have an annual target return for our ISAs and how to manage investments when you hit your target early?
This Weekâs Highlights
- đ„ Crypto Rollercoaster - Bitcoin dumps 10% right after last weekâs episode⊠then rips back. Chinaâs clampdown on illegal exchanges sparks volatility.
- đ” Dollar Weakness = Commodity Strength - A 1.5% fall in the dollar boosts metals across the board. Silver hits a new all-time high, gold approaches one and copper posts a new post-crash high.
- đŻđ” Japan Shocks Markets - The Bank of Japan hints at a rate hike (from 0.5% to 0.75%), sending JGB yields to 1.9%, the highest in years.
- đ Santa Rally⊠Incoming? - December is typically strong, but Japanâs sudden move could complicate things.
- đșđž US Markets Stay Resilient - The S&P 500 notches its 7th straight monthly gain.
- đ Oil Wobbles - Tensions with Venezuela move prices, but weak structural supply keeps oil struggling.
Macro Deep Dive: Japan, Yields & Why It Matters
The team translate Japanâs bond market into plain English:
- What a â30-year vs 10-year implied 20-year rateâ actually tells us
- Why the market is already pricing Japanese rates rising to ~4% over time
- How a rising yen hurts Nikkei earnings
- Why Japanâs decades of deflation explain their ultra-cautious approach now
Portfolio Snapshot
(as referenced in-episode â not final weekly numbers)
Weekly Performance: +0.68%
Total Return Since Inception: +9.8%
Top Performers:
đ„ BlackRock World Mining Trust: +5.4%
đ„ WisdomTree Copper ETF: +3.34%
đ„ VanEck Crypto & Blockchain Innovators ETF: +2.55%
Underperformers:
đźđł iShares MSCI India ETF: â2.94%
đ iShares Core MSCI EM IMI ETF: â0.93%
đŻđ” iShares Nikkei 225 ETF: â0.64%
Actions Taken:
We are now fully invested heading into year-end.
âą +2.5% WisdomTree Copper ETF
âą Cash now fully deployed, with Gilts acting as defensive ballast
What Youâll Learn
- How Japanâs bond market can move global stocks
- Why a weak dollar supercharges metals
- Why India suddenly fell this week
- How professionals think about risk once theyâve hit a return target
- The psychology of selling winners and losers
- Why copper may be the portfolioâs secret weapon for 2026
đ Download the full Portfolio Performance Slides
View the portfolio breakdown: here
đ§ Get in touch: theartofinvesting@ig.com
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Disclaimer
This podcast is provided for educational and informational purposes only. The content presented is not intended as personal investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any particular securities or investments. All discussions regarding the model portfolio are illustrative and for educational purposes.
Your capital is at risk. The value of shares, ETFs and ETCs can fall as well as rise, which could mean getting back less than you originally put in.
December Incentive â Get 5% cashback on your investments:
Open a new account and invest a minimum of ÂŁ50 by 31 December, and keep at least ÂŁ50 invested until March.
Youâll receive 5% cashback on your invested value from 21 November to 31 December (max payout ÂŁ100).
Your capital is at risk. New customers only.
Offer valid until 31/12/2025 on ISA, GIA or SIPP accounts. T&Cs apply.
đ Full details & T&Cs: https://www.ig.com/uk/5-percent-cashback-nov-25


