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Why Is Your Hand Not as Strong as Steel?
One of the key steps was that a super intelligence would be able to solve the protein folding problem. People are often like, how can you know a super intelligence will do? And for some subset of those things they have already been done. So I would claim to have a good prediction track record although it's a little bit iffy because of course I can't quite be proven wrong. Without exhibiting a super intelligence that fails to solve a problem.