Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

How to form habits effectively (with Jim Davies)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

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Navigating Uncertainty in Decision-Making

This chapter explores the intricate relationship between uncertainty and decision-making, particularly in the context of philanthropy and investment strategies. It emphasizes the importance of using informed estimates over arbitrary numbers and the value of a diversified approach to resource allocation. The discussion highlights the necessity of acknowledging biases and model uncertainties, advocating for a balanced and iterative decision-making process.

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