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Omer Cedar - Quant-Aware Discretionary (S3E11)

Flirting with Models

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How to Capture Persistence Idiosyncratic Risk

Risks that are not event driven can be very difficult to model. One way is through some kind of a probability function between two states of the world. You have one state where it's purely idiosyncratic, and it's running in this sort of event driven binary analysis. And then you've got a much more traditional, what i would call normal distribution, where this is really where the factors come in.

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