Economic Contraction: Predictions and Historical Parallels

Contrarian macro strategist David Hunter delivers his boldest outlook yet: a final parabolic melt-up in stocks during 2025, capping a 43-year secular bull market, followed by what he calls the biggest deflationary bust since 1929.

In this must-watch interview with James Connor, Hunter predicts the S&P 500 surging to 8000 and the Dow to 55,000 before an 80 % collapse wipes out trillions.

Key points he explains:

• Why the Fed is already behind the curve and will soon panic-cut rates
• How bearish institutional positioning could fuel the melt-up
• Signs we may already be in a recession
• Why the coming global bust could dwarf 2008
• How a $20 trillion Fed balance-sheet expansion could spark hyperinflation later in the 2030s
• Why the next bull market should favor commodities, oil, and precious metals over tech

Also discussed: his targets of $ 20,000 gold, $500 silver, $500 oil, and why traditional index investing may be “dead money” for a generation.

Chapters:

1:12 - Buy the Bounce or Sell the Surge?  

3:27 - What Could Propel the S&P to 8 000?  

6:31 - Can Markets Soar While the Economy Sinks?  

8:40 - Is the Fed Already Behind the Curve?  

11:19 - How Severe Could the Coming Slowdown Be?  

16:41 - The Two-Speed Economy: Haves vs Have-Nots  

20:47 - Will Unemployment Hit Double Digits?  

28:14 - Could GDP Plunge Like 1932 Again?  

35:08 - Canada’s Real-Estate Risk & Global Fallout  

40:47 - Bubble Fever: Speculation on Steroids  

49:47 - The Biggest “If” in Hunter’s Forecast  

52:01 - Haircut Inflation & the Commodity Supercycle  

55:05 - Can You Outsmart a Deflationary Bust?  

58:06 - Where to Follow David Hunter Next 

Follow David on X/Twitter: https://x.com/DaveHcontrarian

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