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The Evidence: When will the pandemic end?

Discovery

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The Transmission Matters More Than Severity

In terms of disruption of society, transmission really does matter. You have to dil back on severity by a really big amount in order to make up for a much bigger number of people being infected with a variant. South africa has suffered very badly during this pandemic. There's been hundreds of thousands of deaths. And the population of south africa is relatively young. What we don't know yet is when that same variant now comes into populations that are older, perhaps had less infection and have more vulnerable populations.

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