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#173: Would You Believe… (Bret Weinstein & Heather Heying DarkHorse Livestream)
DarkHorse Podcast
The Importance of Probabilistic Thinking
This is analogous to p-hacking. Obviously, this is not statistical. But the basic idea is in a complex phenomenon, you can get spurious results periodically. And we use statistics to reduce the likelihood of us settling on one of the spurious results arbitrarily. It turns out that when you can play that game, so that you have lots of results that have, you know, some low likelihood of being the result of sampling error,. Then you'll get something that appears to be significant on its own, but wouldn't be significant if it was compiled with all of the looking. Right. I have a bunch more.
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