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How to Improve Speculative Value Theory
"I see one way we can improve these kinds of theories, like speculative value theory or Bayesian thinking is to find better ways to help people use them properly in real life," he says. "It's one of the basic mistakes that a lot of our charities make. I think they try to model out their impact and they often will way over complexify the model." He adds: "There's something really powerful about being able to keep them all on your head".