Impact of Trump's Conviction on Voter Intentions

This chapter explores polling methodology and recent poll findings related to Trump's conviction, indicating a potential shift in voter support among independents and some Republicans. An analysis of a political analyst's election prediction model suggests a weakening of Trump's support, with President Joe Biden having a 75% chance of defeating him in the upcoming election. The chapter emphasizes the importance of voter turnout, likely voters, and independent voters in determining the election outcome, amidst discussions on party-line opinions, decreasing enthusiasm for Biden, and Trump's campaign strategies.