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Ukrainecast: 12 months on

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What's Next for Tally?

Tally: Russia does not seem to be able to win this. I think Ukraine has a limited possibility in the coming weeks and months. If that doesn't happen, come the late summer, say, it'll be very hard to see it as anything other than a stalemate. China laid out framework for what it said was a peace plan today. It proposes ceasefire and talks and an end to sanctions against Russia.

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