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Ep. 81: Nathan Young on forecasting, prediction markets, and designing good policy.

FUTURATI PODCAST

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How to Design Good Politics?

Tatis: I think things should have a numerical edge. When you're thinking about these policies, that most people are actually quantifying things in their heads,. whether they say they are or not. And so i would like to see is how bad, on a numerical val you know, how much suffering does this panic cause? You can't quantify everything. But sometimes people can look at two big numbers and say they're pretty similar - when one of those numbers is ten thousand times bigger than the other that. It's often about incentives that decision makers have. Most poor politicians are paid less than, like, a teacher at a school (Ionow): A head teacher will be

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